Liz Cheney’s Is Not Toast Yet, See Why Polls May Lie In Wyo.

At a glance

  • Wyoming Rep. Cheney owes her best shot at keeping her seat to the crossover vote, with early reports indicating that a significant number of voters have changed their registration to Republican to vote in the primary. Those voters don’t necessarily show up in public opinion surveys — like the one released Aug. 11 from the University of Wyoming that showed Cheney losing by more than 30 points. And the state’s largely rural population is notoriously difficult to survey.
  • All but $380,000 in Cheney’s contributions came from outside Wyoming, compared to almost $1 million of in-state donations for Hageman.

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