House Control ‘Will Absolutely Come Down To California’

The analysis on whether – or by how large of a margin – Republicans will next control the House is riding largely on the outcome of nine California congressional races, says a top forecaster for the well-respected, nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
CHARLOTTE, NC - NOVEMBER 05: A woman walks with dogs past a sign identifying a polling location on the final day of early voting at Bank of America Stadium on November 5, 2022 in Charlotte, North Carolina. Today marked the last day for early voting in the state before Election Day on November 8. (Photo by Sean Rayford/Getty Images)

At a glance

  • The forecast was made Saturday – and still stood Sunday – by Cook’s House expert Dave Wasserman.
  • Mine of the 2022 congressional races deemed most at risk of flipping remained too close to call.
  • At a minimum, the California races will influence the margin of power.
  • Republicans need to have a net gain of five seats across the nation to gain the House majority.
  • “It will absolutely come down to California,” said David Wasserman. “It’s the single largest cluster of races that are too close to call. It could remain that way for several days.”
  • The Cook Political Report, which has tracked House and Senate races for decades, had rated five of California’s congressional races as toss-ups and six as competitive.

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