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House Control ‘Will Absolutely Come Down To California’

The analysis on whether – or by how large of a margin – Republicans will next control the House is riding largely on the outcome of nine California congressional races, says a top forecaster for the well-respected, nonpartisan Cook Political Report.

  • The forecast was made Saturday – and still stood Sunday – by Cook’s House expert Dave Wasserman.
  • Mine of the 2022 congressional races deemed most at risk of flipping remained too close to call.
  • At a minimum, the California races will influence the margin of power.
  • Republicans need to have a net gain of five seats across the nation to gain the House majority.
  • “It will absolutely come down to California,” said David Wasserman. “It’s the single largest cluster of races that are too close to call. It could remain that way for several days.”
  • The Cook Political Report, which has tracked House and Senate races for decades, had rated five of California’s congressional races as toss-ups and six as competitive.
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