Joe Biden still has a 63.64% probability of being the Democratic candidate for this year’s presidential election.
That said, Newsome has jumped from a 9.09% chance to a 30.77% chance of becoming the next Democratic candidate. He’s jumped about 20% without saying or doing anything. It’s just based on the fact that Biden didn’t look fit to be the president of the United States anymore.
That said, Newsom went from +2200 to +500 to win the election, and Vice President Kamala Harris is now +1400 to win the Presidential election despite being +5000 before the debate.