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Gov. Newsom’s Odds Of Being Dem Nom Go From 9% To 31%

California Gov. Gavin Newsom and his wife Jennifer wait to greet President Joe Biden at San Francisco International Airport as he arrives for the APEC summit, Tuesday, Nov. 14, 2023, in San Francisco. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

Joe Biden still has a 63.64% probability of being the Democratic candidate for this year’s presidential election.

That said, Newsome has jumped from a 9.09% chance to a 30.77% chance of becoming the next Democratic candidate. He’s jumped about 20% without saying or doing anything. It’s just based on the fact that Biden didn’t look fit to be the president of the United States anymore.

That said, Newsom went from +2200 to +500 to win the election, and Vice President Kamala Harris is now +1400 to win the Presidential election despite being +5000 before the debate.

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