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France’s Far Right Headed For Victory In The First Round At The Polls

French far-right leader Marine Le Pen and conservative politician Eric Ciotti, attend a press conference by far-right National Rally party president Jordan Bardella, Monday, June 24, 2024 in Paris. The upcoming two-round parliamentary election will take place on June 30 and July 7. (AP Photo/Christophe Ena)

With just days to go until France’s snap parliamentary election kicks off, victory for the far right looks increasingly likely in the first phase of the two-stage runoff.

Marine Le Pen’s National Rally and its allies are seen winning 36% of votes, signalling growing support for the party’s euroskeptic, anti-immigration agenda, according to the latest opinion polls from Elabe released ahead of the first vote on June 30.

The left-wing New Popular Front, meanwhile, is projected behind with 27%, while President Emmanuel Macron’s Renaissance party is predicted to clinch 20% of the support, as of June 27.

The shift away from centrist politics has spooked investors and analysts, who warn of implications ranging from “political paralysis” to “immediate financial crisis.”

But predicting the outcome of France’s final vote on July 7 is less clear-cut, given the complexity of France’s voting system.

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